Artificial Intelligence's Martial Turn: Mapping the Implications for War and International Order, A Study from Historical Perspective
Abstract
This article develops an original analytical framework explaining how civil-military dual-use potential dictates military adaptation pathways for advanced technologies, validated through comparative analysis of railways (high dual-use to Militarization) and nuclear technology (low dual-use to Weaponization), establishing that Militarization drives Systemic Enablement Effects in warfare and Structural Dynamics Modulation in international relations, while Weaponization yields Existential Determinacy Impacts and Foundational Paradigm Shifts; applied to AI, a paradigm-aligned high dual-use case, the framework predicts its Militarization trajectory while revealing critical findings: cognitive emulation bridges technology-warfare epistemological divides, virtual embeddedness enables controlled escalation fantasies corroding nuclear deterrence stability, and decision-system integration creates uncontrolled escalation pathways, with the study's primary contribution lying in generalizable theory-building for technology-security scholarship where AI serves as both validation vector and boundary-testing case.
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