Το πρόβλημα της πρόβλεψης στη σύγχρονη σεισμολογία: Επιστημολογικές διαστάσεις και ζητήματα επιστημονικής πολιτικής

Abstract

Earthquake prediction is a relatively new field, in which many
important questions remain open, as the relevant scientific knowledge is characterized by a high degree of uncertainty and is far from being considered well established. Nevertheless, it is an area of science that is directly linked to political decision-making for the protection of human
life and property, as modern societies, with the creation of large cities
and potentially dangerous infrastructures, such as nuclear reactors for example, are vulnerable to the consequences of a strong earthquake. This article will briefly present the debate on earthquake prediction using the methodology of Science and Technology Studies (STS), in order to highlight both epistemological issues and public policy issues, as well as
the ways in which they affect each other.