New Democracy party and Laos : interdependency and diversity of electoral performance


Κώστας Ζαφειρόπουλος
Abstract

The paper analyses the electoral flows between New Democracy Party and LAOS in order to understand the two political parties’ electoral interdependency during the Greek National Election of 2007. It uses both election results and data provided by an exit poll to a) estimate constituency flows matrices using Maximum Likelihood Method, b) analyse the geographical allocation of flows and c) predict voting behavior by using attitude variables provided by the exit poll. The paper argues that LAOS has established a rather secure electoral base.

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