Electoral changes 1985-1996


Κώστας Ζαφειρόπουλος
Θόδωρος Χατζηπαντελής
Abstract

In this paper we study the electoral changes of the Greek parliamentary elections of 1985, of lune and November 1989, the elections of 1990, 1993, and 1996. The study of uniformity of the vote an the study of the loyalties of the voters, are dominant subjects in this paper. Regarding the election outcomes and using ecological regression with constraints, we estimate the flows of the voters between consecutive elections. Using the flows of the voters we can examine the degree and even the spatial variability of the loyalties of the voters. Voters tend to vote for the same party in consecutive elections exhibiting in this way very high loyalties. None the less the proportion of voters who tend to vote for smaller parties have increased. Nationalization of the vote is detected by using the deviation of Pedersens Index, which is calculated for every electoral constituency. The results confirm that the tendency of the electoral constituencies to act in a homogeneous way has come to a stability.

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